Braves at Marlins
Last play · Michael Harris II grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Marlins100%
ATL 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 4 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +120
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Agustín Ramírez homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Xavier Edwards scores. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 3) — +22% Marlins
8Austin Riley homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.2–6
7Agustín Ramírez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II, deflected by second baseman Ozzie Albies. Xavier Edwards scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.1–6
6Braves challenged (stadium boundary call), call on the field was overturned: Eric Wagaman hits a ground-rule double (15) on a line drive down the left-field line. Kyle Stowers scores. Dane Myers to 3rd.1–5
4Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Austin Riley to 2nd.1–4
3Agustín Ramírez homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Xavier Edwards scores. Otto Lopez scores.0–4
2Liam Hicks singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Kyle Stowers scores. Liam Hicks to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








