Orioles at Yankees
Last play · Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
BAL 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+250 / -310
Yankees favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Urías homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 8) — -33% Orioles
8Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Gary Sánchez scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.5–3
8Ramón Urías homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
6Coby Mayo singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Colton Cowser scores. Gary Sánchez to 2nd.3–3
3Aaron Judge homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3
1Jasson Domínguez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. Trent Grisham scores.2–2
1Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Trent Grisham to 3rd. Aaron Judge to 2nd.2–1
1Gary Sánchez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Jackson Holliday scores. Ramón Laureano scores. Colton Cowser to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








