Mets at Phillies
Last play · Tyrone Taylor flies out to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Phillies100%
NYM 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Phillies favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Brandon Marsh scores. (inning 7) — +21% Phillies
8Nick Castellanos homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.2–10
7Bryson Stott doubles (8) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos scores. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.2–8
7Nick Castellanos singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Kyle Schwarber scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.2–5
7Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd.2–4
7Trea Turner doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Brandon Marsh scores.2–3
6Jeff McNeil homers (8) on a line drive to right field.2–2
6Pete Alonso homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
4Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. J.T. Realmuto scores. Otto Kemp to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








