Reds at Cardinals
Last play · Santiago Espinal strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CIN 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 1 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Brendan Donovan scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. (inning 3) — +11% Cardinals
8Jose Trevino doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Santiago Espinal scores. Throwing error by right fielder Jordan Walker.1–6
7Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Nolan Gorman scores. Thomas Saggese to 2nd.0–6
7Thomas Saggese reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Gavin Lux. Brendan Donovan scores. Masyn Winn scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.0–5
7Nolan Gorman walks. Victor Scott II scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd. Masyn Winn to 2nd.0–3
7Masyn Winn singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Pedro Pagés scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.0–2
3Alec Burleson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Brendan Donovan scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








