Rangers at Pirates
Last play · Oneil Cruz grounds out, first baseman Ezequiel Duran to pitcher Robert Garcia.
Win probability
Pirates0%
TEX 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 2 PIT
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-190 / +140
Pirates favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adolis García homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — -15% Rangers
9Josh Jung grounds out softly, pitcher Caleb Ferguson to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Adolis García scores. Ezequiel Duran to 3rd. Evan Carter to 2nd.6–2
7Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Adolis García doubles (17) to center field, on fan interference. Marcus Semien scores.5–2
5Corey Seager homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.4–2
4Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Spencer Horwitz scores. Joey Bart to 3rd. Jared Triolo to 2nd.3–2
4Joey Bart singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Haggerty. Nick Gonzales scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.3–1
4Adolis García homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
1Corey Seager lines out sharply to left fielder Alexander Canario.2–0
1Sam Haggerty singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Josh Smith scores. Sam Haggerty to 3rd. Fielding error by center fielder Oneil Cruz.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








