Last play · Kerry Carpenter pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
Win probability
Rays100%
DET 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
DET 3 – 9 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Trey Sweeney scores. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 3) — -25% Tigers
9Colt Keith homers (6) on a line drive to right field. Javier Báez scores.8–14
8Kameron Misner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Matt Thaiss scores.6–14
8Matt Thaiss singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Jonathan Aranda scores. Josh Lowe scores. Matt Thaiss to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder Kerry Carpenter.6–13
8Riley Greene homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.6–11
6Matt Thaiss singles on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Josh Lowe scores.5–11
6Josh Lowe doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Curtis Mead scores.5–10
6Javier Báez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake Mangum. Dillon Dingler scores.5–9
6Parker Meadows doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Riley Greene scores. Dillon Dingler to 3rd.4–9
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
DET8–
TB14