Braves at Marlins
Last play · Dane Myers grounds out, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Marlins0%
ATL 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 0 MIA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Marlins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. (inning 1) — -12% Braves
9Drake Baldwin homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Marcell Ozuna scores.7–0
8Michael Harris II grounds into a force out, shortstop Otto Lopez to second baseman Xavier Edwards. Drake Baldwin scores. Eli White out at 2nd. Michael Harris II to 1st.4–0
5Austin Riley singles on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.3–0
5Ronald Acuña Jr. doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Nick Allen scores.2–0
1Marcell Ozuna doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








