Mets at Phillies
Last play · Buddy Kennedy strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies0%
NYM 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 4 PHI
Mets led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Phillies favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Francisco Lindor doubles (14) on a fly ball to second baseman Bryson Stott. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. (inning 6) — -24% Mets
9Francisco Alvarez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.11–4
8Juan Soto singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Brett Baty scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.10–4
8Jared Young homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.8–4
6Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Francisco Lindor doubles (14) on a fly ball to second baseman Bryson Stott. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.7–4
5Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Trea Turner scores.5–4
5Juan Soto homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.5–3
3Juan Soto homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
3Brandon Nimmo homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








