Orioles at Yankees
Last play · Dylan Carlson grounds out to first baseman J.C. Escarra.
Win probability
Yankees100%
BAL 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 8 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.C. Escarra homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — +10% Yankees
6J.C. Escarra singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Jasson Domínguez scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd.0–9
5Ben Rice triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. J.C. Escarra scores.0–8
5Anthony Volpe homers (9) on a line drive to right field.0–7
3Oswald Peraza singles on a pop up to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Jasson Domínguez scores. Anthony Volpe scores.0–6
3J.C. Escarra out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Anthony Volpe to 2nd. Throwing error by center fielder Cedric Mullins.0–4
2Ben Rice homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.0–3
2J.C. Escarra homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
1Trent Grisham homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








