Rangers at Pirates
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates0%
TEX 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Pirates favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Henry Davis grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Josh Jung. Spencer Horwitz scores. Nick Gonzales out at 3rd. Adam Frazier to 2nd. Henry Davis to 1st. (inning 6) — +16% Pirates
6Henry Davis grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Josh Jung. Spencer Horwitz scores. Nick Gonzales out at 3rd. Adam Frazier to 2nd. Henry Davis to 1st.3–2
6Marcus Semien out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Sam Haggerty scores.3–1
6Corey Seager singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Josh Smith scores. Sam Haggerty to 3rd.2–1
5Oneil Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Evan Carter. Henry Davis scores.1–1
3Kyle Higashioka singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz, deflected by left fielder Adam Frazier. Ezequiel Duran scores. Kyle Higashioka to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Adam Frazier.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








