Red Sox at Giants
Last play · Romy Gonzalez grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Dominic Smith.
Win probability
Giants100%
BOS 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Giants favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Andrew Knizner scores. (inning 3) — +17% Giants
9Marcelo Mayer grounds out sharply to first baseman Dominic Smith. Nate Eaton to 3rd.2–3
9Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Roman Anthony scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.1–3
3Rafael Devers homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Andrew Knizner scores.0–3
1Heliot Ramos homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








