Nationals at Dodgers
Last play · Tommy Edman grounds out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
WSH 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 1 LAD
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -240
Dodgers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — -22% Nationals
9Teoscar Hernández homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.7–3
8Keibert Ruiz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Enrique Hernández. Josh Bell scores.7–2
8Nathaniel Lowe homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.6–2
7CJ Abrams homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Keibert Ruiz scores.5–2
6Will Smith homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
6Nathaniel Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
5Andy Pages homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
4Luis García Jr. homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








