Reds at Cardinals
Last play · Yohel Pozo singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Jordan Walker scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CIN 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.5% · hold 7.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 9) — +44% Cardinals
11Yohel Pozo singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Jordan Walker scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.5–6
9Nolan Arenado homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.5–5
8Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Will Benson. Brendan Donovan scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.5–4
8Masyn Winn singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz, deflected by second baseman Matt McLain. Victor Scott II scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.5–3
8Will Benson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Spencer Steer scores.5–2
7Elly De La Cruz homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Matt McLain scores.4–2
7Gavin Lux grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Willson Contreras. Connor Joe scores. Matt McLain to 3rd.2–2
3Gavin Lux grounds into a double play, pitcher Sonny Gray to shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Willson Contreras. Matt McLain scores. TJ Friedl out at 2nd. Gavin Lux out at 1st.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








