Rays at Tigers
Last play · Jake Mangum flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Tigers100%
TB 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 3 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +100
Tigers favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Javier Báez homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Dillon Dingler scores. (inning 2) — +20% Tigers
7Zach McKinstry homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–5
7Colt Keith homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
5Riley Greene singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Colt Keith scores.1–3
3Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Taylor Walls scores. Danny Jansen out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Zach McKinstry to third baseman Javier Báez.1–2
2Javier Báez homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Dillon Dingler scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








