Rockies at Red Sox
Last play · Tyler Freeman grounds out, second baseman Romy Gonzalez to first baseman Abraham Toro.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
COL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 5 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Abraham Toro doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Carlos Narváez scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 2) — +20% Red Sox
8Romy Gonzalez homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–9
8Ceddanne Rafaela homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.3–8
7Carlos Narváez singles on a line drive to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Jarren Duran scores.3–7
7Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Roman Anthony scores. Jarren Duran to 2nd.3–6
6Ryan McMahon singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Thairo Estrada scores. Michael Toglia to 3rd.3–5
6Michael Toglia reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Nate Eaton. Mickey Moniak scores. Thairo Estrada to 3rd.2–5
5Roman Anthony homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Romy Gonzalez scores.1–5
2Abraham Toro doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Carlos Narváez scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








