Marlins at Reds
Last play · Austin Hays strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
MIA 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 1 CIN
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Reds favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Reds challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Liam Hicks singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Agustín Ramírez scores. (inning 5) — -16% Marlins
7Agustín Ramírez homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
6Javier Sanoja out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Will Benson. Derek Hill scores.4–1
6Derek Hill reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Noelvi Marte. Eric Wagaman scores. Derek Hill to 3rd. Derek Hill advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by third baseman Noelvi Marte. Derek Hill advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by pitcher Lyon Richardson.3–1
5Reds challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Liam Hicks singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Agustín Ramírez scores.2–1
5Agustín Ramírez doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Xavier Edwards scores.1–1
2Tyler Stephenson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Austin Hays scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








