Marlins at Reds
Last play · Connor Joe grounds into a force out, shortstop Otto Lopez to second baseman Javier Sanoja. Noelvi Marte out at 2nd.
Win probability
Reds0%
MIA 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 7 – 1 CIN
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -130
Reds favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xavier Edwards doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Heriberto Hernández scores. Dane Myers scores. (inning 3) — -26% Marlins
9Noelvi Marte reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Connor Norby. Gavin Lux scores. Will Benson to 3rd. Jose Trevino to 2nd.12–2
9Kyle Stowers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Connor Joe. Agustín Ramírez scores.12–1
8Dane Myers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Will Benson. Connor Norby scores.11–1
6Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Liam Hicks scores.10–1
6Dane Myers grounds into a double play, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer. Connor Norby scores. Liam Hicks to 3rd. Heriberto Hernández out at 2nd. Dane Myers out at 1st.9–1
6Heriberto Hernández walks. Kyle Stowers scores. Connor Norby to 3rd. Liam Hicks to 2nd.8–1
3Connor Norby out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Will Benson. Agustín Ramírez scores.7–1
3Kyle Stowers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Will Benson. Otto Lopez scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd.6–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








