Pirates at Royals
Last play · Nick Loftin singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Maikel Garcia scores. Salvador Perez to 2nd.
Win probability
Royals100%
PIT 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Royals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Loftin homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Salvador Perez scores. (inning 7) — +44% Royals
9Nick Loftin singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Maikel Garcia scores. Salvador Perez to 2nd.3–4
8Bryan Reynolds grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Loftin to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd. Tommy Pham out at 2nd. Bryan Reynolds to 1st.3–3
7Nick Loftin homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Salvador Perez scores.2–3
7Nick Gonzales homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
4Oneil Cruz homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
2Jac Caglianone homers (3) on a line drive to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








