Guardians at Astros
Last play · Cam Smith strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
CLE 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 6 – 4 HOU
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -160
Astros favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Angel Martínez hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana scores. (inning 10) — -53% Guardians
10Angel Martínez hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana scores.10–6
8Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Taylor Trammell scores. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.6–6
8Taylor Trammell doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Mauricio Dubón scores.6–5
5Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nolan Jones. Jose Altuve scores.6–4
5Jose Altuve doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Isaac Paredes scores. Cam Smith scores.6–3
4Brayan Rocchio homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.6–1
3Daniel Schneemann singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Nolan Jones scores. José Ramírez scores.5–1
3Nolan Jones doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Brayan Rocchio scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








