Nationals at Cardinals
Last play · Jacob Young grounds into a force out, shortstop Masyn Winn to second baseman Thomas Saggese. Drew Millas out at 2nd.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
WSH 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Cardinals favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Donovan homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Victor Scott II scores. (inning 3) — +25% Cardinals
6Lars Nootbaar homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.2–4
3Alec Burleson doubles (15) on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Masyn Winn scores.2–3
3Brendan Donovan homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Victor Scott II scores.2–2
3Luis García Jr. grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Thomas Saggese. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood out at 2nd. Luis García Jr. to 1st.2–0
3James Wood singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








