Mariners at Yankees
Last play · J.P. Crawford grounds out, third baseman Oswald Peraza to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Yankees100%
SEA 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 1 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Yankees favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 6) — +21% Yankees
8Cal Raleigh homers (36) on a fly ball to right field. Julio Rodríguez scores.3–10
8Julio Rodríguez doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger. J.P. Crawford scores.1–10
7Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez, deflected by second baseman Cole Young. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.0–10
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Dylan Moore. Cody Bellinger scores. Giancarlo Stanton to 3rd.0–8
7Aaron Judge homers (34) on a fly ball to right field.0–7
6Austin Wells homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Paul Goldschmidt scores.0–6
6Giancarlo Stanton homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores.0–4
5Oswald Peraza reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Cole Young. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








