Phillies at Giants
Last play · Patrick Bailey hits an inside-the-park home run (2) on a fly ball to right field. Casey Schmitt scores. Brett Wisely scores.
Win probability
Giants100%
PHI 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Giants favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Patrick Bailey hits an inside-the-park home run (2) on a fly ball to right field. Casey Schmitt scores. Brett Wisely scores. (inning 9) — +62% Giants
9Patrick Bailey hits an inside-the-park home run (2) on a fly ball to right field. Casey Schmitt scores. Brett Wisely scores.3–4
7Kyle Schwarber homers (28) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Marsh scores.3–1
6Otto Kemp doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd.1–1
2Dominic Smith singles on a ground ball to left fielder Otto Kemp. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Jung Hoo Lee to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








