D-backs at Padres
Last play · Alek Thomas strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Padres100%
AZ 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 0 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Arraez homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 7) — +30% Padres
7Luis Arraez homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








