Mariners at Yankees
Last play · Cole Young strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
SEA 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 6 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 6) — -12% Mariners
7Cole Young homers (1) on a line drive to right center field. Ben Williamson scores.6–9
6Aaron Judge doubles (22) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Oswald Peraza scores. Jasson Domínguez scores.4–9
6Jasson Domínguez singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Austin Wells scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd.4–7
6Randy Arozarena homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Julio Rodríguez scores.4–6
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Cody Bellinger scores.2–6
4Jorge Polanco homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.2–4
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
3J.P. Crawford homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








