Marlins at Reds
Last play · Liam Hicks strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
MIA 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Reds favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Hays singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 1) — +9% Reds
9Connor Norby homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.2–7
8Will Benson homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–7
8Heriberto Hernández singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Nick Fortes scores.1–6
4Elly De La Cruz doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. TJ Friedl scores.0–6
4Noelvi Marte homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Benson scores.0–5
1Tyler Stephenson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Austin Hays scores. Gavin Lux to 3rd.0–3
1Austin Hays singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Elly De La Cruz scores.0–2
1Elly De La Cruz doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Matt McLain scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








