Mets at Orioles
Last play · Luis Torrens strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
NYM 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 3 – 5 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Orioles favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Westburg homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Jackson scores. (inning 2) — +25% Orioles
6Ramón Laureano grounds into a force out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Luisangel Acuña. Jordan Westburg scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd. Ryan O'Hearn out at 2nd. Ramón Laureano to 1st.3–7
6Jordan Westburg reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Francisco Lindor. Alex Jackson scores.3–6
5Ramón Urías reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Brett Baty. Ramón Laureano scores. Colton Cowser to 2nd.3–5
5Colton Cowser singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd.3–4
4Brett Baty singles on a line drive to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Juan Soto scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd.3–3
2Jordan Westburg homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Jackson scores.2–3
2Alex Jackson doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Cedric Mullins scores.2–1
1Pete Alonso out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Francisco Lindor scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








