Rockies at Red Sox
Last play · Brenton Doyle lines out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
COL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 4 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+260 / -325
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Narváez homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — +15% Red Sox
8Jarren Duran homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Marcelo Mayer scores. David Hamilton scores.2–10
8Romy Gonzalez homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Masataka Yoshida scores.2–7
8Kyle Farmer homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Yanquiel Fernández scores.2–5
6David Hamilton singles on a line drive to right fielder Yanquiel Fernández. Romy Gonzalez scores.0–5
5Wilyer Abreu homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Roman Anthony scores.0–4
4Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Yanquiel Fernández, deflected by first baseman Michael Toglia. Carlos Narváez scores.0–2
2Carlos Narváez homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








