Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TB 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 1 BOS
Rays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Romy Gonzalez scores. Marcelo Mayer scores. (inning 7) — +44% Red Sox
7Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a line drive to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Romy Gonzalez scores. Marcelo Mayer scores.3–4
7Marcelo Mayer doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Trevor Story scores. Romy Gonzalez to 3rd.3–2
6Junior Caminero homers (23) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
4Ha-Seong Kim homers (1) on a line drive to left field. Josh Lowe scores.2–1
3Roman Anthony singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








