Mariners at Yankees
Last play · Mariners challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Aaron Judge out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Anthony Volpe scores.
Win probability
Yankees100%
SEA 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 0 NYY
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / -105
Yankees favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Wells singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Trent Grisham scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Ben Rice to 2nd. (inning 9) — +49% Yankees
10Mariners challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Aaron Judge out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Anthony Volpe scores.5–6
9Austin Wells singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Trent Grisham scores. Cody Bellinger scores. Ben Rice to 2nd.5–5
8Giancarlo Stanton homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Ben Rice scores.5–3
8Austin Wells out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.5–1
7Jorge Polanco homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. J.P. Crawford scores. Randy Arozarena scores.5–0
4Miles Mastrobuoni singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Dominic Canzone scores.2–0
2Cole Young singles on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Luke Raley scores. Dominic Canzone to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








