Marlins at Reds
Last play · Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Connor Joe.
Win probability
Reds100%
MIA 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 2 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Reds favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — +10% Reds
6Austin Hays singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores. Austin Hays to 2nd.0–6
6Elly De La Cruz singles on a line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Noelvi Marte scores. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Dane Myers.0–4
2Spencer Steer homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
1Austin Hays singles on a line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Elly De La Cruz scores. Austin Hays out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Derek Hill to pitcher Cal Quantrill to second baseman Xavier Edwards.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








