Nationals at Cardinals
Last play · Paul DeJong flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
WSH 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Cardinals favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Brendan Donovan scores. (inning 3) — +12% Cardinals
8Nationals challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Jacob Young grounds into a force out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to second baseman Brendan Donovan. Daylen Lile scores. Drew Millas out at 2nd. Jacob Young to 1st.1–8
7Willson Contreras homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–8
6Masyn Winn doubles (19) on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Victor Scott II scores.0–7
6Brendan Donovan out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Nolan Gorman scores.0–6
6Victor Scott II grounds into a force out, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to shortstop CJ Abrams. Nolan Arenado scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd. Yohel Pozo out at 2nd. Victor Scott II to 1st.0–5
6Yohel Pozo singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood, deflected by shortstop CJ Abrams. Lars Nootbaar scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd. Nolan Gorman to 2nd.0–4
6Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Willson Contreras scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd.0–3
3Alec Burleson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Brendan Donovan scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








