Cubs at Twins
Last play · DaShawn Keirsey Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
CHC 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 6 – 1 MIN
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Twins favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 3) — -21% Cubs
9Michael Busch grounds out sharply, shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Kody Clemens. Seiya Suzuki scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.8–1
7Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field.7–1
5Kody Clemens homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.6–1
5Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Michael Busch to 2nd.6–0
5Michael Busch singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Seiya Suzuki scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.5–0
4Matt Shaw out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Carson Kelly scores.4–0
3Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Tucker scores.3–0
2Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Dansby Swanson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








