Marlins at Orioles
Last play · Eric Wagaman grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
Win probability
Orioles100%
MIA 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 56.6% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Orioles favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Javier Sanoja. Jordan Westburg scores. (inning 1) — +9% Orioles
9Otto Lopez homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Jesús Sánchez scores.2–5
7Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jordan Westburg scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.0–5
3Ramón Laureano doubles (15) on a line drive to center fielder Javier Sanoja. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd.0–4
3Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to center fielder Javier Sanoja. Jordan Westburg scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.0–3
1Ryan O'Hearn doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Javier Sanoja. Jordan Westburg scores.0–2
1Jordan Westburg singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez, deflected by second baseman Xavier Edwards. Jackson Holliday scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








