Rangers at Astros
Last play · Isaac Paredes strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
TEX 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 5 – 3 HOU
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Evan Carter singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Corey Seager scores. Marcus Semien scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd. (inning 1) — -22% Rangers
7Wyatt Langford homers (15) on a line drive to left field. Corey Seager scores.7–3
4Victor Caratini homers (10) on a line drive to right field. Christian Walker scores.5–3
3Jonah Heim doubles (9) on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Evan Carter scores. Jake Burger scores. Jonah Heim out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Cam Smith to third baseman Isaac Paredes.5–1
3Adolis García homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
1Christian Walker grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Jake Burger. Isaac Paredes scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.2–1
1Evan Carter singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Corey Seager scores. Marcus Semien scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








