Nationals at Brewers
Last play · CJ Abrams pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
Win probability
Brewers100%
WSH 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 7 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+220 / -270
Brewers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alex Call. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras scores. (inning 3) — +17% Brewers
7Andrew Vaughn homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.3–8
7Riley Adams homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–7
6Brady House doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Josh Bell scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd.2–7
4William Contreras doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alex Call. Sal Frelick scores.1–7
3Christian Yelich homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Chourio scores.1–6
3Jackson Chourio singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alex Call. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras scores.1–4
3William Contreras doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd.1–2
3Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Caleb Durbin scores. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








