Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Jake Mangum lines out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TB 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 1 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Narváez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Roman Anthony scores. (inning 4) — +13% Red Sox
4Carlos Narváez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Roman Anthony scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








