Cubs at Yankees
Last play · Trent Grisham grounds out, third baseman Jon Berti to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Yankees0%
CHC 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 0 NYY
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Yankees favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 1) — -12% Cubs
9Aaron Judge homers (35) on a fly ball to right center field. Cody Bellinger scores.5–2
8Carson Kelly homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.5–0
3Ian Happ singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Dansby Swanson scores.4–0
3Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, third baseman Oswald Peraza to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Seiya Suzuki scores. Carson Kelly out at 2nd. Dansby Swanson advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.3–0
3Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by third baseman Oswald Peraza. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.2–0
1Kyle Tucker grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Nico Hoerner scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








