Rangers at Astros
Last play · Zack Short singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Cam Smith scores. Kenedy Corona to 2nd.
Win probability
Astros100%
TEX 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 2 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adolis García singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Marcus Semien scores. Adolis García to 2nd. (inning 11) — -44% Rangers
11Zack Short singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Cam Smith scores. Kenedy Corona to 2nd.4–5
11Christian Walker out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Isaac Paredes scores.4–4
11Adolis García singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Marcus Semien scores. Adolis García to 2nd.4–3
9Kyle Higashioka homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
8Marcus Semien homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
7Mauricio Dubón homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
4Yainer Diaz homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
1Jose Altuve homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








