Mets at Royals
Last play · Jac Caglianone lines out sharply to center fielder Tyrone Taylor.
Win probability
Royals0%
NYM 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 0 KC
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Royals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (23) on a fly ball to right field. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 4) — -26% Mets
9Jeff McNeil singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Pete Alonso scores.3–1
6Jonathan India doubles (21) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Kyle Isbel scores.2–1
4Juan Soto homers (23) on a fly ball to right field. Francisco Lindor scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








