Nationals at Brewers
Last play · Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Andruw Monasterio scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.
Win probability
Brewers100%
WSH 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+220 / -270
Brewers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brady House homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Nathaniel Lowe scores. (inning 8) — -52% Nationals
9Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Andruw Monasterio scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.5–6
9Andrew Vaughn doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Jackson Chourio scores. Christian Yelich scores.5–5
9CJ Abrams out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Riley Adams scores.5–3
8Brady House homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Nathaniel Lowe scores.4–3
4Andrew Vaughn doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. William Contreras scores. Jackson Chourio scores.2–3
4Jackson Chourio doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras to 3rd.2–1
4Brady House homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
2Daylen Lile homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








