Last play · Spencer Horwitz flies out to left fielder Willi Castro.
Win probability
Twins100%
PIT 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
PIT 2 – 9 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+115 / -135
Twins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Royce Lewis scores. Ty France scores. (inning 2) — +26% Twins
8Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to center fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Spencer Horwitz scores.4–12
7Willi Castro homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.3–12
7Byron Buxton homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.3–11
7Joey Bart singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Oneil Cruz scores.3–10
6Matt Wallner homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.2–10
5Jack Suwinski homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–9
4Nick Gonzales reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Royce Lewis. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd. Fielding error by third baseman Royce Lewis.1–9
3Trevor Larnach out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Byron Buxton scores.0–9
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.