Braves at Cardinals
Last play · Masyn Winn grounds out, shortstop Luke Williams to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
ATL 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 3 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Cardinals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sean Murphy homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Jurickson Profar scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. (inning 8) — -61% Braves
9Jurickson Profar grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to pitcher Ryan Helsley. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores. Luke Williams to 2nd.7–6
8Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.6–6
8Sean Murphy homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Jurickson Profar scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.6–5
7Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Nolan Gorman scores.3–5
6Yohel Pozo homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–4
2Nolan Gorman homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Thomas Saggese scores.3–3
2Thomas Saggese singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Yohel Pozo scores.3–1
2Michael Harris II grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to pitcher Erick Fedde. Ozzie Albies scores. Nacho Alvarez Jr. to 2nd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








