Rays at Red Sox
Last play · Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TB 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Red Sox favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Roman Anthony scores. (inning 6) — +20% Red Sox
6Ceddanne Rafaela homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Trevor Story scores.1–4
6Trevor Story singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Roman Anthony scores.1–2
4Josh Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Roman Anthony. Jake Mangum scores.1–1
3Jarren Duran walks.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








