Rockies at Reds
Last play · Tyler Freeman lines out to left fielder Austin Hays.
Win probability
Reds100%
COL 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 3 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Reds favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mickey Moniak singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Kyle Farmer scores. Austin Nola scores. (inning 3) — -24% Rockies
7Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Elly De La Cruz scores. Austin Hays to 2nd.2–4
5Noelvi Marte reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Ryan Ritter. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 3rd. Austin Hays to 2nd.2–3
3Austin Hays singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. TJ Friedl scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.2–2
3Mickey Moniak singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Kyle Farmer scores. Austin Nola scores.2–1
1TJ Friedl homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








