Rangers at Astros
Last play · Victor Caratini grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Ezequiel Duran.
Win probability
Astros0%
TEX 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 0 HOU
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Astros favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Evan Carter triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Wyatt Langford scores. (inning 2) — -15% Rangers
8Marcus Semien homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
6Zack Short homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
4Alejandro Osuna out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Cam Smith. Evan Carter scores.4–0
3Adolis García homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
2Ezequiel Duran hits a ground-rule double (6) on a line drive down the right-field line. Evan Carter scores.2–0
2Evan Carter triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Wyatt Langford scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








