Mets at Royals
Last play · Nick Loftin singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Tyler Tolbert scores.
Win probability
Royals100%
NYM 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared Young out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Jeff McNeil scores. (inning 9) — -38% Mets
9Nick Loftin singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Tyler Tolbert scores.2–3
9Jared Young out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Jeff McNeil scores.2–2
9Jeff McNeil triples (4) on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler Tolbert. Ronny Mauricio scores.1–2
2John Rave doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Maikel Garcia scores. Salvador Perez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








