Cubs at Yankees
Last play · Paul Goldschmidt flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
Win probability
Yankees0%
CHC 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 1 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Yankees favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dansby Swanson homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Carson Kelly scores. (inning 6) — -28% Cubs
7Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a ground ball to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Seiya Suzuki scores.4–1
6Dansby Swanson homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Carson Kelly scores.3–1
2Giancarlo Stanton homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Michael Busch homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








