Mariners at Tigers
Last play · Trey Sweeney strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
SEA 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 2 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Tigers favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Polanco homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 9) — -45% Mariners
9Randy Arozarena grounds out, second baseman Javier Báez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.8–4
9Julio Rodríguez doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. J.P. Crawford scores.7–4
9Cole Young homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.6–4
9Jorge Polanco homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.5–4
8Randy Arozarena doubles (21) on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene, deflected by third baseman Zach McKinstry. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.4–4
7Riley Greene homers (24) on a fly ball to right field.3–4
7Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Javier Báez scores.3–3
7Mitch Garver homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








