Guardians @ White Sox — Live Pitcher Fatigue & Win Probability

CLE6–

CWS5

Final

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	1	6	5	0
CWS	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	5	9	1

Last play · Lenyn Sosa grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman Carlos Santana.

Win probability

White Sox0%

CLE 100%CWS 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CLE 0 – 3 CWS

White Sox led after 5

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-130 / +110

White Sox favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓

Biggest swing · Kyle Manzardo homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. (inning 6) — -45% Guardians

10Steven Kwan out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Angel Martínez scores.6–5

8Luis Robert Jr. doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Will Robertson scores. Andrew Benintendi to 3rd.5–5

8José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Steven Kwan scores.5–4

6Andrew Benintendi homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.4–4

6Kyle Manzardo homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores.4–3

6José Ramírez grounds into a force out, first baseman Miguel Vargas to shortstop Chase Meidroth. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Nolan Jones out at 2nd. José Ramírez to 1st.1–3

5Austin Slater singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nolan Jones. Chase Meidroth scores. Austin Slater to 2nd.0–3

5Michael A. Taylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Johnathan Rodríguez. Miguel Vargas scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.

Line score

The book's line

Win probability timeline

Scoring plays

Guardians at White Sox