Padres at Nationals
Last play · Daylen Lile grounds into a double play, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Luis Arraez. Nathaniel Lowe out at 2nd. Daylen Lile out at 1st.
Win probability
Nationals0%
SD 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 0 WSH
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Nationals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Jacob Young scores. (inning 8) — +44% Nationals
9Manny Machado hits a grand slam (18) to left field. Jose Iglesias scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez scores.7–2
9Elias Díaz out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to second baseman Luis García Jr. Jake Cronenworth scores. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.3–2
8CJ Abrams homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Jacob Young scores.2–2
7Elias Díaz out on a sacrifice bunt to pitcher Luis García. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.2–0
2Jake Cronenworth out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








